Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 90733.534876 95693.880880 100649.523845 105968.533084 111512.438880 117116.916594 123207.346186
2025-02-02 83705.895902 91393.842817 99284.992848 107979.392970 117279.012289 126916.878470 137649.358479
2025-02-09 78049.185269 87591.587314 97597.225216 108848.675498 121125.955724 134093.412788 148802.467381
2025-02-16 73002.810348 83862.748235 95456.870737 108719.405108 123432.928297 139218.124199 157395.129573
2025-02-23 69309.839465 81260.257498 94220.059471 109265.193423 126194.990666 144600.721685 166066.874496
2025-03-02 65876.046682 78684.534633 92774.116556 109350.203686 128241.754118 149024.848155 173538.686680
2025-03-09 63657.958561 77319.400110 92540.505278 110661.846647 131548.969615 154768.545330 182428.656067
2025-03-16 60580.252953 74792.728831 90825.648583 110133.928039 132631.936799 157893.173376 188270.243267
2025-03-23 59071.119785 74000.943489 91030.327656 111748.253523 136120.696610 163727.210087 197198.799621
2025-03-30 57338.643446 72850.159124 90732.538938 112701.420319 138782.432788 168571.081721 204970.902183
2025-04-06 55363.166381 71317.129451 89901.790428 112950.729485 140556.525231 172340.404641 211469.695794
2025-04-13 53378.643979 69690.041044 88883.793057 112907.012919 141925.071436 175592.537324 217337.694753
2025-04-20 52558.072352 69482.092156 89584.291333 114958.454999 145849.046655 181942.605128 226989.188390
2025-04-27 51734.176258 69234.414077 90212.022312 116909.893532 149659.000500 188185.166900 236570.686779
2025-05-04 50434.121806 68337.344179 89997.599833 117793.814676 152150.474438 192843.750141 244272.241580
2025-05-11 48712.112373 66844.306653 88989.055664 117646.662851 153340.792107 195908.447152 250044.758142
2025-05-18 47438.075266 65876.167599 88594.511536 118226.325786 155398.742662 200012.033923 257081.017689
2025-05-25 46009.146853 64658.700880 87841.497036 118316.479793 156818.706599 203319.258713 263144.558109
2025-06-01 45252.305009 64286.977894 88138.410870 119714.176753 159862.143310 208624.007809 271680.900230
2025-06-08 43665.834646 62774.124939 86928.255695 119151.586186 160407.708730 210822.117064 276378.175046
2025-06-15 43148.795786 62660.126825 87507.477387 120871.762915 163838.699287 216613.496560 285558.209439
2025-06-22 42359.670358 62154.079996 87554.090418 121887.289292 166365.156039 221280.471382 293359.334381
2025-06-29 41295.796011 61244.111420 87042.714493 122152.892070 167914.523329 224715.554634 299627.165756